:root{--bg:#0c131b;--panel:#131e28;--line:#2a3540;--muted:#a6b3c1;--text:#f2f4f5;--teal:#70d9c1;--coral:#ffa28c;--gold:#f1cf80}*{box-sizing:border-box}html{scroll-behavior:smooth;scroll-padding-top:30px}body{margin:0;background:var(--bg);color:var(--text);font-family:Inter,ui-sans-serif,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,"Segoe UI",sans-serif;font-size:15px;line-height:1.6}a{color:inherit;text-decoration:none}a:hover{color:var(--teal)}button,select{font:inherit}button,a,select{touch-action:manipulation}button:focus-visible,a:focus-visible,select:focus-visible,summary:focus-visible{outline:3px solid var(--teal);outline-offset:4px}header{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:36px;max-width:1440px;padding:30px 5%;margin:auto;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}.brand{font-size:13px;letter-spacing:.07em;white-space:nowrap}.brand b{font-weight:400;color:var(--muted)}.mark{color:var(--teal);font-size:24px;margin-right:10px}nav{display:flex;gap:28px;font-size:13px;margin-left:auto}.edition{font:10px ui-monospace,monospace;color:var(--muted);letter-spacing:.1em}main{max-width:1280px;margin:auto;padding:0 40px}.hero{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1.1fr 1fr;gap:85px;padding:80px 0 65px;align-items:center}.eyebrow{font:11px ui-monospace,monospace;letter-spacing:.13em;color:var(--muted);display:flex;align-items:center;gap:9px}.eyebrow i{width:6px;height:6px;background:var(--teal);border-radius:50%}h1{font-size:clamp(56px,6vw,88px);line-height:1.04;letter-spacing:-.065em;font-weight:600;margin:25px 0}h1 em{font-style:normal;color:var(--teal)}.lead{color:var(--muted);max-width:480px;font-size:16px;line-height:1.8}.primary{display:inline-flex;gap:42px;background:var(--teal);color:#10231e;padding:13px 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var(--line);border-radius:5px;overflow:hidden;margin-bottom:25px}.metric{background:var(--panel);padding:18px 22px}.metric span{font-size:11px;color:var(--muted);display:block}.metric strong{display:block;font-size:28px;font-weight:500;letter-spacing:-.03em}.metric small{font-size:11px;color:var(--muted)}.legend{display:flex;gap:8px;align-items:center;color:var(--muted);font-size:10px;margin:25px 0 12px;flex-wrap:wrap}.research-dot{height:7px;width:18px;background:#77889b;border-radius:2px}.result-dot{height:7px;width:18px;background:var(--teal);border-radius:2px;margin-left:10px}.push{margin-left:auto}.election{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:5px;margin:14px 0;overflow:hidden}.election-top{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:13px;padding:15px 20px;background:#15212b;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}.yearnum{font-size:22px;font-weight:600;letter-spacing:-.04em}.pill{font:10px ui-monospace,monospace;border:1px solid #52616c;border-radius:30px;padding:4px 10px;white-space:nowrap;color:#c2ced7}.dateline{margin-left:auto;font-size:11px;color:var(--muted);text-align:right}.tablewrap{overflow-x:auto}table{border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;font-size:13px}th{font-weight:400;font-size:10px;color:var(--muted);text-align:right;padding:12px 20px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}th:first-child,td:first-child{text-align:left}td{padding:15px 20px;text-align:right;font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums;border-bottom:1px solid #202d37;white-space:nowrap}td.name{min-width:170px;font-weight:500}td.name small{display:block;color:var(--muted);font-size:10px;font-weight:400}.visual{width:25%;min-width:130px}.barpair{display:grid;gap:5px}.barpair div{height:5px;background:#77889b;border-radius:1px}.barpair div:last-child{background:var(--teal)}.err{color:var(--gold);font-weight:600}.err.mild{color:#c3d0da}.election-foot{padding:12px 20px;font-size:11px;color:var(--muted);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:7px 20px}.election-foot 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0}.backtest{font-size:13px;line-height:1.8;color:var(--muted)}.backtest b{color:var(--text)}details{border-top:1px solid var(--line);margin-top:25px;padding:20px 0;font-size:12px;color:var(--muted)}summary{cursor:pointer;color:var(--text);font-size:13px}details a{color:var(--teal)}.notice{margin-top:25px;background:#18232b;border-radius:4px;padding:22px 25px;font-size:13px}.notice p{color:var(--muted);font-size:12px;margin:8px 0 0}.methodgrid{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(4,1fr);gap:28px;margin-top:30px}.methodgrid article>span{color:var(--teal);font:12px ui-monospace,monospace}.methodgrid h3{font-size:15px;font-weight:500}.methodgrid p{font-size:12px;color:var(--muted);line-height:1.85}footer{max-width:1440px;margin:auto;border-top:1px solid var(--line);padding:28px 5%;display:flex;gap:20px;justify-content:space-between;font-size:10px;color:var(--muted)}footer b{color:var(--text);font-size:11px}.residualtable{max-width:650px;margin-top:20px}.residualtable td,.residualtable th{padding:9px 10px}
@media(max-width:1000px){.edition{display:none}.hero{gap:40px}.duel strong{font-size:35px}.methodgrid{grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr}.toolbar{flex-wrap:wrap}.modelgrid{gap:9px}.modelcard{padding:18px}.modelcard .duel{display:block}.modelcard .duel>div{display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between}.modelcard .duel strong{font-size:28px}}
@media(max-width:680px){header{padding:20px;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:16px}.brand{font-size:11px}nav{gap:22px;margin-left:0;font-size:11px;width:100%}main{padding:0 20px}.hero{grid-template-columns:1fr;padding:45px 0;gap:35px}h1{font-size:66px}.lead{font-size:14px}.current{padding:24px}.current h2{max-width:none;font-size:24px;margin:15px 0 20px}.duel strong{font-size:40px}.principles{flex-direction:column;gap:10px;padding:18px 0}section:not(.hero){padding:45px 0}h2{font-size:29px}.sectionhead{align-items:start}.sectionhead .outline{font-size:10px;padding:8px;white-space:nowrap;margin-top:26px}.toolbar{gap:18px}.segmented{width:100%}.segmented button{flex:1;padding:10px 8px;font-size:11px}.selects{width:100%;gap:10px}.selects label{flex:1}select{width:100%;min-width:0}.metrics{grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr 1fr}.metric{padding:12px 10px}.metric strong{font-size:23px}.metric span,.metric small{font-size:9px}.push{margin-left:0;width:100%;margin-top:6px}.election-top{padding:13px;gap:8px;flex-wrap:wrap}.dateline{width:100%;text-align:left;margin-left:0}.yearnum{font-size:20px}th,td{padding:12px 13px;font-size:12px}th{font-size:9px}.visual{display:none}td.name{min-width:125px}.election-foot{padding:12px 13px;font-size:10px}.model-controls{flex-direction:column}.model-controls select{min-width:0}.modelgrid{grid-template-columns:1fr}.modelcard .duel{display:flex}.modelcard .duel>div{display:block}.modelcard .duel strong{font-size:36px}.modelcard h3{margin:8px 0 16px}.scenario .sectionhead{flex-wrap:wrap}.methodgrid{gap:20px;grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr}.methodgrid h3{font-size:13px}.methodgrid p{font-size:11px}footer{flex-direction:column;padding:24px 20px}.residualtable{font-size:11px}.residualtable td{white-space:normal}.notice{padding:18px}}
@media(prefers-reduced-motion:reduce){html{scroll-behavior:auto}}@media print{body{background:white;color:#111}header,footer,button,.toolbar{display:none}main{max-width:none}.hero{padding:20px 0}section:not(.hero){padding:25px 0}.current,.modelcard,.metric,.election-top{background:#eee;color:#111}.sub,.lead,.micro,.methodgrid p{color:#444}.election{break-inside:avoid}}

.forecast-main{border:1px solid var(--teal);border-radius:6px;background:linear-gradient(130deg,#18342f,#14202c);padding:30px}.forecast-layout{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1.1fr 1fr;gap:50px;align-items:center}.forecast-main h3{font-size:21px;font-weight:500}.forecast-main .duel strong{font-size:52px}.forecast-main p{color:var(--muted);font-size:12px}.forecast-explain{border-left:1px solid #38514f;padding-left:30px;font-size:13px}.forecast-explain ol{padding-left:20px}.forecast-explain li{margin:12px 0;color:var(--muted)}.forecast-explain b{color:var(--text)}.comparison-title{margin-top:40px;font-size:18px;font-weight:500}@media(max-width:680px){.forecast-main{padding:22px}.forecast-layout{grid-template-columns:1fr;gap:15px}.forecast-main .duel strong{font-size:38px}.forecast-explain{border-left:0;border-top:1px solid #38514f;padding:20px 0 0}}

.prediction-label{display:block;font-size:10px;font-weight:400;color:var(--muted);margin-top:3px;white-space:normal}

/* Brasil: green, gold and blue, with one stable hue per election year. */
:root{--bg:#081b15;--panel:#102b22;--line:#2b483b;--muted:#b2c6b9;--text:#f5f8ef;--teal:#8ae0a1;--coral:#f5d651;--gold:#f5d651}
body{background:radial-gradient(ellipse at 85% 0%,#25472a 0%,transparent 42%),var(--bg)}
header{border-top:4px solid #f5d651}.brand b{color:#c6ddca}.brazil-flag{display:inline-block;position:relative;width:31px;height:21px;background:#27854b;border-radius:2px;margin-right:10px;vertical-align:middle}.brazil-flag:before{content:"";position:absolute;width:15px;height:15px;left:8px;top:3px;background:#ffdd45;transform:rotate(45deg) scaleY(.8)}.brazil-flag:after{content:"";position:absolute;width:9px;height:9px;border-radius:50%;background:#204d9a;left:11px;top:6px}
h1 em{color:var(--gold)}.primary{background:var(--gold);color:#173020}.primary:hover{background:#ffe985;color:#173020}.current{border-top-color:var(--gold);background:linear-gradient(135deg,#203e2a,#102b24)}.current h2{color:#fff3b9}.principles b,.mark{color:var(--gold)}.segmented{background:#071910}.segmented button.active{background:#355139;color:#fff9db}.metric{background:#112d23}.forecast-main{background:linear-gradient(125deg,#24432b,#102b26);border-color:#cfba49}.forecast-explain{border-color:#496747}.range,.notice{background:#19382a}.range{border-left-color:var(--gold)}.election-note{background:transparent}.modelcard.primarymodel{border-top-color:var(--gold)}
.election-year-1998{--year-light:#8dc9f0;--year-dark:#20506c;--year-tint:#112731}
.election-year-2002{--year-light:#bbd867;--year-dark:#495d16;--year-tint:#232c16}
.election-year-2006{--year-light:#f2d24c;--year-dark:#715b10;--year-tint:#302c15}
.election-year-2010{--year-light:#79cf83;--year-dark:#205f39;--year-tint:#152f20}
.election-year-2014{--year-light:#8ca9e9;--year-dark:#304776;--year-tint:#1a2638}
.election-year-2018{--year-light:#efb45e;--year-dark:#785019;--year-tint:#302718}
.election-year-2022{--year-light:#63d2a0;--year-dark:#176344;--year-tint:#113026}
.election-year-2026{--year-light:#73d9c9;--year-dark:#17645a;--year-tint:#102f2c}
.election{border-color:var(--year-dark);border-left:5px solid var(--year-light);background:var(--year-tint);margin:17px 0}.election-top{background:var(--year-light);color:#102318;border-bottom:0}.election-top .dateline{color:#1c332a}.election-top .pill{border-color:#203a3055;color:#142f21;background:#ffffff24}.election-round-2{border-left-color:var(--year-dark)}.election-round-2 .election-top{background:var(--year-dark);color:#fff}.election-round-2 .election-top .dateline,.election-round-2 .election-top .pill{color:#f3f7ef}.election-round-2 .election-top .pill{background:#ffffff10;border-color:#ffffff66}.election th,.election td{border-bottom-color:#ffffff16}.election-foot{border-top:1px solid #ffffff12}.election .empty{background:transparent;border:0}.year-colors{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:center;gap:10px 18px;margin:0 0 24px}.year-key{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:7px;font:11px ui-monospace,monospace;color:#d4e0d6}.year-key i{width:12px;height:12px;border-radius:3px;background:var(--year-light);box-shadow:5px 0 0 var(--year-dark);margin-right:5px}.year-colors small{font-size:10px;color:var(--muted);margin-left:auto}@media(max-width:680px){.year-colors small{width:100%;margin:0}.election{border-left-width:4px}.election-top{padding:14px}.forecast-main .duel strong{font-size:38px}}@media print{body{background:#fff}.election-top{print-color-adjust:exact;-webkit-print-color-adjust:exact}.election{background:#fff;color:#111}}

#homeForecast h2{max-width:none;font-size:30px;margin-bottom:16px}#homeForecast .home-basis{font-size:13px;margin-bottom:22px}#homeForecast .stamp{line-height:1.8}#homeForecast .stamp a{font-size:10px}

.brand{font-size:17px;font-weight:650;letter-spacing:.08em}.brand b{color:var(--gold);font-weight:650}.dataia-title{font-size:clamp(68px,7.2vw,102px);margin-bottom:20px;white-space:nowrap}.dataia-tagline{font-size:31px;line-height:1.2;max-width:360px;margin:0 0 22px;color:#e3efdf;letter-spacing:-.035em}@media(max-width:680px){.brand{font-size:15px}.dataia-title{font-size:72px}.dataia-tagline{font-size:27px}}

.candidate-name{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;vertical-align:middle;white-space:nowrap;line-height:1.35}.candidate-photo{display:inline-block;width:22px;height:22px;flex:0 0 auto;border-radius:50%;object-fit:cover;object-position:center 25%;border:1px solid #ffffff48;background:#d7dfd8}.name>.candidate-name{gap:10px}.name>.candidate-name>.candidate-photo{width:36px;height:36px}.name>small{margin-left:46px}.duel .candidate-name{display:inline-flex;gap:8px;white-space:normal}.duel .candidate-photo{width:34px;height:34px}.duel .candidate-name>span{font-size:12px;line-height:1.4}.photo-credits{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;gap:14px;margin-top:20px}.photo-credit{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;font-size:11px}.photo-credit img{width:42px;height:42px;border-radius:50%;object-fit:cover;object-position:center 25%;flex:none}.photo-credit a{text-decoration:underline}.photo-credit p{margin:0}@media(max-width:680px){.candidate-photo{width:19px;height:19px}.name>.candidate-name>.candidate-photo{width:28px;height:28px}.name>.candidate-name{gap:7px}.name>small{margin-left:35px}.name>.candidate-name>span{white-space:normal;max-width:100px}.duel .candidate-photo{width:29px;height:29px}.duel .candidate-name{gap:5px}.photo-credits{grid-template-columns:1fr}.modelcard .duel .candidate-name{display:inline-flex}}

.audit-panel{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:12px;padding:24px;margin:24px 0;background:#123426}.audit-panel h3{margin-top:0}.audit-panel p{font-size:14px;line-height:1.7}.audit-panel .micro{font-size:12px}.audit-panel caption{text-align:left;color:var(--muted);padding:10px 0;font-size:12px}.audit-panel td{white-space:nowrap}.cutoff-warning{border-left:3px solid var(--gold);padding:10px 14px;background:#ffffff08;font-size:13px;line-height:1.6;margin-bottom:24px}#homeForecast .stamp{font-size:12px}#homeForecast .stamp a{font-size:12px}@media(max-width:680px){.audit-panel{padding:16px}}